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By Manlio Dinucci
In the present day, the risks of navy escalation are past description.
What’s now occurring in Ukraine has severe geopolitical implications. It could lead on us right into a World Warfare III situation.
It is vital {that a} peace course of be initiated with a view to stopping escalation.
World Analysis condemns Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
A Bilateral Peace Settlement is required.
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On March 8, after having briefly printed it on-line (see hyperlink), the Manifesto’s editorial employees made the column The Artwork of Warfare disappear in a single day additionally from the paper version, as a result of I had refused to adjust to the Ministry of Reality’s directive and had requested for a debate on the Ukrainian disaster.
Thus ends my lengthy collaboration with this newspaper, on which for over ten years I printed the column.
A heat greeting to the readers, whom I’ll proceed to tell by means of different channels.
Manlio Dinucci
***
The strategic plan of the US towards Russia was elaborated three years in the past by the Rand Company (the manifesto, Rand Corp: the best way to deliver down Russia, Could 21, 2019). The Rand Company, headquartered in Washington, DC, is “a world analysis group creating options to coverage challenges”: it has a military of 1,800 researchers and different specialists recruited from 50 international locations, talking 75 languages, unfold throughout places of work and different places in North America, Europe, Australia, and the Persian Gulf. Rand’s U.S. personnel dwell and work in additional than 25 international locations.
The Rand Company, which describes itself as a “nonprofit, nonpartisan group,” is formally funded by the Pentagon, the U.S. Military and Air Power, nationwide safety businesses (CIA and others), businesses in different international locations, and highly effective non-governmental organizations.
The Rand Corp. prides itself on having helped devise the technique that enabled the US to emerge victorious from the Chilly Warfare, forcing the Soviet Union to devour its assets in a grueling navy confrontation. This mannequin has impressed the brand new plan elaborated in 2019: “Overextending and Unbalancing Russia”, i.e. forcing the adversary to overextend itself so as to unbalance and knock it down.
These are the primary traces of assault outlined within the Rand plan, on which the US has truly moved lately.
To begin with – the plan establishes – Russia should be attacked on essentially the most susceptible facet, that of its financial system strongly depending on gasoline and oil exports: for this objective business and monetary sanctions should be used and, on the similar time, Europe should be made to lower the importation of Russian pure gasoline, changing it with US liquefied pure gasoline.
Within the ideological and informational subject, it’s essential to encourage inside protests and on the similar time undermine the picture of Russia exterior.
Within the navy subject, it’s essential to function in order that European NATO international locations improve their forces in an anti-Russian perform. The US can have excessive likelihood of success and excessive advantages with reasonable dangers by investing extra in strategic bombers and long-range assault missiles directed towards Russia. Deploying new intermediate-range nuclear missiles in Europe geared toward Russia assures them a excessive likelihood of success, but in addition carries excessive dangers.
By calibrating every choice to get hold of the specified impact – Rand concludes – Russia will find yourself paying the best value within the confrontation with the US, however the latter and their allies must make investments giant assets to divert them from different functions.
As a part of that technique – the Rand Company’s 2019 plan predicted – “offering deadly help to Ukraine would exploit Russia’s biggest level of exterior vulnerability, however any improve in U.S.-provided weapons and navy recommendation to Ukraine must be rigorously calibrated to extend prices to Russia with out frightening a a lot bigger battle by which Russia, due to proximity, would have vital benefits.”
It’s exactly right here – at what the Rand Company referred to as “Russia’s biggest exterior vulnerability level,” exploitable by arming Ukraine in a fashion “calibrated to extend prices to Russia with out frightening a a lot bigger battle” – that the rupture occurred. Caught within the political, financial and navy stranglehold that the US and NATO more and more tightened, ignoring Moscow’s repeated warnings and proposals for negotiation, Russia reacted with the navy operation that destroyed greater than 2,000 navy services in Ukraine that had been truly constructed and managed not by Kiev’s rulers however by US-NATO instructions.
The article that three years in the past reported the Rand Company’s plan ended with these phrases: “The choices within the plan are actually solely variants of the identical struggle technique, the value of which by way of sacrifices and dangers is paid by all of us”. We European persons are paying it now, and we pays it increasingly dearly, if we proceed to be expendable pawns within the US-NATO technique.
This text was initially printed in Italian on Il Manifesto.
The unique supply of this text is World Analysis.
Supply: Ukraine, It Was All Written within the Rand Corp Plan – LewRockwell LewRockwell.com
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